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Search resuls for: "Richard Sylla"


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"The one thing that our economy is going to be guaranteed is a wartime economy," Daniel told Business Insider in an interview. Interest in ultra-bearish takes on the market or the economy is on the up based on raw search data. Google searches for "stock market crash" have jumped 17% over the last quarter, while searches for "economic crash" have surged 15%, according to search analytics firm Glimpse. In both communities, users are sounding the alarm on all sorts of apocalyptic scenarios for the economy, with some predicting a stock market crash, housing market crash, or a total collapse of the US financial system. "Others may not be as lucky and could be constrained by them, and that could color their outlooks for the stock market and the economy."
Persons: , Daniel, subreddit, Freddie Smith, Smith, aren't, Jonathan Rose, he's, Rose, there's, that's, Richard Sylla Organizations: Service, Genesis Gold, US, Northwestern Mutual, New York University Locations: Washington ,, Reddit, Florida
The future of interest rates is more surprises
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Edward Chancellor | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
Observing these oscillating forecasts, a bystander might conclude that nobody knows anything about the future direction of interest rates. The study examined data from 19 countries back to 1870 and found only a tenuous link between the determinants of savings and investment and real interest rates. “No single factor or combination of such factors”, the authors concluded, “can consistently explain the long-term evolution of real interest rates. Indeed, if the trend persisted Schmelzing forecast that “within a generation historically implied real interest rates will have reached negative territory”. Homer and Sylla wryly observe that people assume that the interest rates they encounter are normal and are surprised by what comes next.
Persons: Claudio Borio, , , Paul Schmelzing, Sidney Homer, Richard Sylla, Sylla, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Capital Economics, Bank for International, Austrian, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Financial, Boston College, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Central, U.S . Federal, London, Japan
Bank of America charted the historical path of interest rates last week. Central banks have lifted borrowing costs away from "5,000-year lows" over the past year, strategists said. AdvertisementAdvertisementJust like the men of TikTok, Bank of America strategists have been thinking a lot about the Roman Empire. For reasons unknown, the bank decided to chart five millennia's worth of interest rates in a recent research note. AdvertisementAdvertisementNeedless to say, investors can probably take the chart with a grain of salt – but the strategists probably aren't being facetious when they say there are gloomy times ahead.
Persons: , Sidney Homer, Richard Sylla's, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, he's Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, Federal, of, Street Locations: TikTok, Roman, Greece
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